2024 04 93-100
基于高斯混合模型的配电网分布式光伏接入影响量化分析方法
基金项目(Foundation):
内蒙古电力（集团）有限责任公司科技项目“大规模分布式光伏并网振荡风险及预警方法研究”（2023-5-28）
邮箱(Email):
DOI:
10.19929/j.cnki.nmgdljs.2024.0059
中文作者单位:
内蒙古电力(集团)有限责任公司内蒙古电力科学研究院分公司，呼和浩特 010020
摘要(Abstract):
针对大量光伏并网后对配电网的影响难以准确评估的问题，提出一种基于高斯混合模型的配电网分布式光伏接入影响量化分析方法。首先，基于配电台区节点负荷历史数据和太阳辐照强度历史数据，建立基于高斯混合模型理论的配电台区节点注入功率的不确定性模型，通过线性化潮流方法计算得到配电台区的节点电压幅值、支路有功潮流等电气量的概率密度函数；其次，建立分布式光伏接入影响量化评估指标体系，并提出分布式光伏接入影响量化评估方法；最后，基于算例对本文所提方法进行验证。
关键词(KeyWords):
配电网;分布式光伏;高斯混合模型;节点负荷;风险指标
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参考文献
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[2] 曾惜,王元峰,刘畅,等.基于网损的分布式光伏并网容量匹配策略的研究[J].机电工程技术,2018,47(8):160-162,249. ZENG Xi, WANG Yuanfeng, LIU Chang, et al. Grid connection of distributed photovoltaic based on network loss Research on capacity matching Strategy[J]. Mechanical&Electrical Engineering Technology, 2018, 47(8):160-162, 249.
[3] 何洛滨.含分布式电源的配电网可靠性建模与供电可靠性研究[D].北京:北京交通大学,2018.
[4] 张曦,康重庆,张宁,等.太阳能光伏发电的中长期随机特性分析[J].电力系统自动化,2014,38(6):6-13. ZHANG Xi, KANG Chongqing, ZHANG Ning, et al. Analysis of medium and long term stochastic characteristics of solar photovoltaic power generation[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2014, 38(6):6-13.
[5] 随新鲜.计及分布式电源的配电网的可靠性及其经济性研究[D].成都:西南交通大学,2010.
[6] 丁少倩,林涛,翟学,等.基于短路容量的含大规模新能源接入的电网状态脆弱性评估方法研究[J].电力系统保护与控制,2016,44(13):40-47. DING Shaoqian, LIN Tao, ZHAI Xue, et al. Based on short circuit capacity containing large-scale new energy access Research on Vulnerability Assessment Method of power grid state[J]. Power System Protection and Control, 2016, 44(13):40-47.
[7] Singh R, Pal B C, Jabr R A. Statistical Representation of Distribution System Loads Using Gaussian Mixture Model[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2010, 25(1):29-37.
[8] Nijhuis M, Gibescu M, Cobben S. Gaussian Mixture Based Probabilistic Load Flow For LV-Network Planning[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2017, 32(4):2878-2886.
[9] Singh R, Pal B C, Jabr R A. Statistical Representation of Distribution System Loads Using Gaussian Mixture Model[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2010, 25(1):29-37.
[10] 田蓓,于珍,李旭涛,等.考虑多风电场功率相关性的概率潮流联合分布计算[J].中国电力,2017(10):71-77. TIAN Bei, YU Zhen, LI Xutao, et al. Probabilistic power flow joint distribution calculation considering power dependence of multiple wind farms[J]. Electric Power, 2017(10):71-77.
[11] 陈鹏伟,陶顺,肖湘宁,等.主动配电网可靠性评估源荷模型改进及并行处理[J].电力系统自动化,2016,40(18):68-75. CHEN Pengwei, TAO Shun, XIAO Xiangning, et al. Improvement and Parallel Processing of source-load Model for Reliability Evaluation of Active Distribution Network[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2016, 40(18):68-75.
[12] 卢锦玲,初文奇,於慧敏,等.基于需求侧响应的主动配电网多源协调优化调度[J].电力科学与工程,2018,34(11):30-37. LU Jinling, CHU Wenqi, YU Huimin, et al. Multi-source coordinated optimal dispatch for active distribution network based on demand-side response[J]. Electric Power Science and Engineeing, 2018, 34(11):30-37.
[13] 丁明,徐志成,赵波,等.考虑云层影响的大型光伏发电系统辐照强度计算模型[J].中国电机工程学报,2015,35(17):4291-4299. DING Ming, XU Zhicheng, ZHAO Bo, et al. Irradiation intensity calculation model for large-scale photovoltaic power generation system considering Cloud Influence[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2015, 35(17):4291-4299.
[14] 徐青山,臧海祥,卞海红.太阳辐射实用模型的建立与可行性研究[J].太阳能学报,2011,32(8):1180-1185. XU Qingshan, ZANG Haixiang, BIAN Haihong. Establishment and feasibility study of practical solar radiation model[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica, 2011, 32(8):1180-1185.
[15] 蔡永翔.促进高比例分布式光伏消纳的配电网运行控制技术[D].北京:中国农业大学,2019.
[16] 王文倬,谢丁,谢醉冰,等.考虑集群划分的分布式光伏无功电压控制策略[J].浙江电力,2024,43(7):64-75.
[17] 陈卓,郭寅远,温彦军,等.基于广义Benders分解的分布式光伏接入容量规划方法[J].浙江电力,2024,43(6):31-40. CHEN Zhuo, GUO Yinyuan, WEN Yanjun, et al. An integration capacity planning method for distributed photovoltaic sources based on generalized Benders decomposition[J]. Zhejiang Electric Power, 2024, 43(6):31-40.
[18] 阮永丽,李兴龙,海迪,等.分布式光伏并网造成的配电台区电压问题治理方法探索[J].云南电力技术,2024,52(3):3-6. RUAN Yongli, LI Xinglong, HAI Di, et al. Integration of Distributed Photovoltaic Access and Low Voltage and Heavy Load Control in Rural Distribution Network[J]. Yunnan Electric Power, 2024, 52(3):3-6.
[19] 周涛,杨剑锋,朱世坤.基于DMPC算法的分布式光伏并网调压控制[J].电网与清洁能源,2024,40(5):86-95. ZHOU Tao, YANG Jianfeng, ZHU Shikun. Distributed Photovoltaic Grid-Connected Voltage Regulation Control Based on Cluster Partitioning DMPC algorithm[J]. Advances of Power System&Hydroelectric Engineering, 2024, 40(5):86-95.
基本信息:
DOI：10.19929/j.cnki.nmgdljs.2024.0059
中图分类号:
引用信息:
[1]王立强,刘鸿清,丛雨.基于高斯混合模型的配电网分布式光伏接入影响量化分析方法[J],2024,42(04):93-100.DOI:10.19929/j.cnki.nmgdljs.2024.0059.
基金信息:
内蒙古电力（集团）有限责任公司科技项目“大规模分布式光伏并网振荡风险及预警方法研究”（2023-5-28）
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