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针对电网企业代理购电系统在现货市场条件下各类型交易品种组合购电策略、量价预测方面存在的局限,从代理购电业务的发展出发,提出了基于数据驱动的代理购电交易数据回溯分析方法,在交易复盘的基础上利用多维属性增强的深度强化学习完成交易价格申报优化重构。此外,考虑突发疫情、季节变化等随机因素,利用伪量测训练方法对样本数据进行分析复盘,提出基于深度神经网络技术的代理购电交易优化决策方案。今后除明确代理用户的用能特性外,还应加强相应仿真推演平台的建设,以精准分析市场交易过程。
Abstract:In view of the limitations of power purchase strategy and volume price prediction of various types of trading varieties under the spot market conditions, starting from the development of agency power purchase business, a data-driven retrospective analysis method of agency power purchase transaction data is proposed, and the multi-dimensional attribute enhanced deep reinforcement learning is used to complete the optimization and reconstruction of transaction price declaration on the basis of transaction review. In addition, considering random factors such as sudden epidemics and seasonal changes, the pseudo-measurement training method is used to analyze and review the sample data, and an optimized decision-making scheme for agency power purchase transactions based on deep neural network technology is proposed. In the future, except for clarifying the energy consumption characteristics of proxy users, the construction of corresponding simulation and deduction platforms should be strengthened to accurately analyze the market trading process.
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基本信息:
DOI:10.19929/j.cnki.nmgdljs.2023.0039
中图分类号:
引用信息:
[1]李彬1,郭慧芳1,薛利2等.代理购电业务发展及辅助决策支撑关键技术研究[J].内蒙古电力技术,2023(03):51-56.DOI:10.19929/j.cnki.nmgdljs.2023.0039.
基金信息:
国家自然科学基金资助项目“可再生能源接入下的大规模负荷感知模型及调控策略研究”(51777068)